As November frost settles over Faerûn, the perennial question echoes through gaming forums and living rooms alike: Will Baldur's Gate 3 finally grace bargain hunters with a Black Friday discount? For adventurers clutching their gold pouches, the answer lies tangled in Larian Studios' unpredictable pricing history. Since its explosive 2023 launch where it dominated Game of the Year awards, this CRPG titan has guarded its $59.99 price like a dragon hoarding treasure. Yet cracks eventually appeared in the vault—first a timid 10% cut during 2023's Winter Sale, then bolder 20% slashes throughout 2024. By September 2025, a record-breaking 25% discount materialized, proving even legendary RPGs bow to market tides.

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The discount timeline reveals fascinating patterns:

  • 🗓️ 2023-2024 Gradual Thaw:

| Sale Period | Discount | Price |

|-------------------|----------|--------|

| Winter 2023 | 10% | $53.00 |

| Summer 2024 | 20% | $47.99 |

| Black Friday 2024 | 20% | $47.99 |

  • 🔥 2025 Price Plunge:

  • Back to Academy Sale (Sep 1): 25% ($44.99)

  • Autumn Sale (Sep 19): 25% ($44.99)

But Black Friday 2025? Here’s the twist: Steam’s Autumn Sale—which coincidentally aligned with Thanksgiving weekend in 2024—jumped to September this year. That calendar shuffle leaves November’s discount hopes dangling by a thread. Could Larian defy Steam’s schedule? Possibly. Remember the surprise Back to Academy discount? Or May’s unannounced 15% drop? Yet history shows themed sales rarely target Black Friday specifically.

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Why gamble on November when Winter Sale whispers promises? Starting December 18, Steam’s grandest discount festival historically unlocks deepest cuts. With Baldur’s Gate 3 already testing 25% lows in 2025, that frosty window might shatter price records further. After all, hasn’t every previous Winter Sale delivered sweeter deals than autumn?

❄️ Why Winter Sale Trumps Black Friday

  1. Historical precedent: Both 2023 and 2024 Winter Sales matched or exceeded autumn discounts

  2. Longer duration: Three weeks vs. potential flash sales

  3. Bundle opportunities: Possible DLC or soundtrack pairings

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Patience, young adventurer. While retailers might dangle minor Black Friday markdowns, Steam’s ecosystem remains Larian’s discount sanctuary. Those extra weeks of waiting could mean saving enough gold for a real-life healing potion—or at least a pizza to fuel all-night Mind Flayer hunts.

🎲 FAQ: Your Discount Dilemmas Solved

Q: Will Baldur's Gate 3 EVER hit 50% off?

A: Unlikely before 2026. Larian’s slow discount crawl suggests 25-30% is the 2025 ceiling.

Q: Should I buy now or risk waiting?

A: If 25% discounts appeared twice recently, isn’t Winter Sale practically guaranteed to match it?

Q: Do console sales differ from Steam?

A: PlayStation/Xbox typically mirror Steam discounts within 1-2 weeks. But who controls the calendar—Sony or the Absolute?

Q: What about physical editions?

A: Collector’s Editions rarely discount deeply. But standard boxed copies? Black Friday’s your best shot.

Q: Could surprise DLC affect pricing?

A: If Larian announces expansions before December, they might bundle it at Winter Sale... or raise base prices. Roll that perception check!